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Who's betting on “Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?”?

Politics · $33M volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $33M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

45% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 5 points.

409 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 409 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xb8cd…02cd, with $20 on it, $967 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $311 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
45%
Holders
370
Money on it
$184
Holders' winrate
51%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
41%
Holders
39
Money on it
$913
Holders' winrate
53%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0xb8cd…02cd$20-$967-
Biggggggggwhale$13+$705K46% of 5,954
thecaricature$12-$8.0K42% of 660
Jaat715noise$11+$50638% of 226
0x62764005C3F58450d21DA9984F6eab56cF3c2Dd9-1765423921985$7-$215K57% of 202
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Elias.Thornwellwhale$311+$4.5K69% of 2,940
lindawhitney$92-$104% of 49
....96$90-$1147% of 32
5233$62-$1231% of 32
kkk1i$60-$459% of 27
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?"?

409 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 409 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xb8cd…02cd, with $20 on it, $967 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $311 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $33M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

45% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 5 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo