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Who's betting on “Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?”?

Politics · $891K volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $891K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

54% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.

342 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 342 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $55 on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $602 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
54%
Holders
165
Money on it
$184
Holders' winrate
55%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
85%
Holders
177
Money on it
$861
Holders' winrate
67%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
anoin123$55-$4.9M60% of 1,429
Yelowyolonoise$47+$5.3K46% of 200
BabyGrootwhale$12+$56K68% of 743
0x62764005C3F58450d21DA9984F6eab56cF3c2Dd9-1765423921985$8-$215K57% of 202
fiternoise$5+$46K16% of 769
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Elias.Thornwellwhale$602+$4.5K69% of 2,940
0x8c49…7d74$40-$39% of 11
axiolgrinder$27+$2.4K92% of 214
0x2daC1cc3a9728bdDB3dA5aB51ab7F1B9AE9073C4-1736166785625$15-$138% of 8
iollu4balanced$13+$8588% of 33
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?"?

342 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 342 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $55 on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $602 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $891K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

54% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo