polkyo

Who's betting on “Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?”?

Politics · $1.6M volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $1.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

54% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

415 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 414 of them. The largest Yes holder is 11122, with $477 on it, $630K lifetime profit over 1,111 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $123 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

Yes2%
Smart money share
54%
Holders
303
Money on it
$7.2K
Holders' winrate
55%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No98%
Smart money share
58%
Holders
112
Money on it
$955
Holders' winrate
69%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
11122noise$477+$630K42% of 1,111
0xecf3663eb6ec403dF13A6C640c3Bc0198903fB93-1777049015033$379-$7-
fireponbabylonwhale$357+$25K64% of 204
Yelowyolonoise$335+$5.3K46% of 200
881112whale$325+$442K60% of 1,101
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Elias.Thornwellwhale$123+$4.5K69% of 2,940
0xb4f6…eada$69-$1.3K36% of 380
0x0f18937034A2a20178c3b7641305440157145b28-1767197506192$59-$1.2K40% of 452
shpicborisovich$58+$692% of 12
BenLaden12$54+$995% of 21
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

Open the full signal →Start free

More markets in Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Who's betting on Venezuela leader end of 2026? →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?"?

415 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 414 of them. The largest Yes holder is 11122, with $477 on it, $630K lifetime profit over 1,111 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $123 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $1.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

54% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo