Who's betting on “Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?
Politics · $25M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $25M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
16% of the money on Yes and 32% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
1,657 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,657 of them. The largest Yes holder is novice99, with $8.7K on it, $756K lifetime loss over 3 markets (33% won). The largest No holder is toomy, with $159 on it, $52 lifetime loss over 54 markets (43% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $5 on No.
- Smart money share
- 16%
- Holders
- 658
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' winrate
- 48%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 32%
- Holders
- 999
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' winrate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 1 · $5
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| novice99 | $8.7K | -$756K | 33% of 3 |
| dmwarner | $2.1K | -$7.5K | 21% of 14 |
| boomdeyada | $787 | +$0 | - |
| 0x7B5c0078d4F9CC7cd271E8d3c375EB7382A04960-1774346687518 | $550 | -$13K | 80% of 25 |
| ijnvg | $541 | +$0 | - |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| toomy | $159 | -$52 | 43% of 54 |
| lkinfj | $86 | +$9 | 100% of 26 |
| chrizdard34 | $67 | -$47 | 99% of 71 |
| moument | $67 | +$33 | 100% of 2 |
| Qlerto | $63 | -$19 | 96% of 48 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
1,657 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,657 of them. The largest Yes holder is novice99, with $8.7K on it, $756K lifetime loss over 3 markets (33% won). The largest No holder is toomy, with $159 on it, $52 lifetime loss over 54 markets (43% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $25M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
16% of the money on Yes and 32% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.