polkyo

Who's betting on “Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $34M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $34M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

75% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.

734 wallets hold a position worth $68K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 732 of them. The largest Yes holder is whig, with $12K on it, $304K lifetime profit over 1,119 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is fhtrr7, with $2.1K on it, $67 lifetime profit over 12 markets (42% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $100 on Yes.

Yes2%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
75%
Holders
364
Money on it
$63K
Holders' winrate
61%
Snipers
1 · $100
Insider flags
0
No98%
Smart money share
63%
Holders
370
Money on it
$5.5K
Holders' winrate
44%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
whigwhale$12K+$304K60% of 1,119
HerbertAppreciatorwhale$8.6K+$11K82% of 38
Forrester26$4.0K-$970% of 1
bernardbulletinwhale$4.0K+$189K75% of 1,110
ScottyNooowhale$2.3K+$891K48% of 1,533
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
fhtrr7$2.1K+$6742% of 12
cvnbnbl876rygf$374+$667% of 18
0x105Dd2abC64B84C1225F314C55214560d90F9fcF-1763048166863$267-$166% of 88
bnghj8$200-$5260% of 20
0xd0fd…e9cb$121--
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

Open the full signal →Start free

More markets in Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Who's betting on Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

734 wallets hold a position worth $68K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 732 of them. The largest Yes holder is whig, with $12K on it, $304K lifetime profit over 1,119 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is fhtrr7, with $2.1K on it, $67 lifetime profit over 12 markets (42% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $34M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

75% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo