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Who's betting on “Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $26M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $26M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

70% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 37 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.

686 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 686 of them. The largest Yes holder is risk-manager, with $250 on it, $196K lifetime profit over 1,007 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is qsantiago, with $71 on it, $14 lifetime loss over 75 markets (12% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
70%
Holders
341
Money on it
$1.6K
Holders' winrate
57%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
33%
Holders
345
Money on it
$2.0K
Holders' winrate
72%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
risk-managerwhale$250+$196K59% of 1,007
JustCrazywhale$249+$32K47% of 264
0x0A1cc6071C968086e5706A1A5cC6c9746bD6EfAf-1769695284589$221-$6.3K45% of 172
Q96s3kwozynxpauwhale$92+$182K51% of 219
pizzaallosqualowhale$88+$23K63% of 184
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
qsantiago$71-$1412% of 75
buj1$66-$11397% of 67
Oputra$66-$1192% of 61
bujanek2$56-$7094% of 66
0x73a862AaeB69E9718c37Bc11fA8f2D4734d9a827-1727796194773$56-$9593% of 75
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

686 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 686 of them. The largest Yes holder is risk-manager, with $250 on it, $196K lifetime profit over 1,007 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is qsantiago, with $71 on it, $14 lifetime loss over 75 markets (12% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $26M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

70% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 37 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo