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Who's betting on “Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $43M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $43M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

92% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 66 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 68 points. A week ago, Yes by 64 points.

689 wallets hold a position worth $7.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 689 of them. The largest Yes holder is gloriafoster, with $2.5K on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 208 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is holly44, with $111 on it, $1 lifetime loss over 42 markets (21% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
92%
Holders
371
Money on it
$4.7K
Holders' winrate
78%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
26% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
318
Money on it
$2.7K
Holders' winrate
42%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
gloriafosterwhale$2.5K+$1.6K92% of 208
DonKarabaswhale$750+$20K63% of 205
risk-managerwhale$294+$196K59% of 1,007
KKchallenge$175-$46K34% of 202
BabyGrootwhale$145+$56K68% of 743
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
holly44$111-$121% of 42
williamcooper$105-$1013% of 104
jaustw$101+$255% of 11
stephensonjonathan$95-$1113% of 38
0x60b621e1590aB3d27A82f35389432a76D25F8Be6-1761984364909$95-$1428% of 39
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

689 wallets hold a position worth $7.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 689 of them. The largest Yes holder is gloriafoster, with $2.5K on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 208 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is holly44, with $111 on it, $1 lifetime loss over 42 markets (21% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $43M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

92% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 66 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 68 points. A week ago, Yes by 64 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo