Who's betting on “Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?
Politics · $26M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $26M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
82% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
983 wallets hold a position worth $27K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 982 of them. The largest Yes holder is gloriafoster, with $5.6K on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 208 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is snimuslivo4ki, with $416 on it, $3 lifetime profit over 29 markets (66% won).
- Smart money share
- 82%
- Holders
- 478
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' winrate
- 74%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 57%
- Holders
- 505
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' winrate
- 50%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafosterwhale | $5.6K | +$1.6K | 92% of 208 |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAwhale | $2.8K | +$1.8M | 69% of 1,104 |
| JORDAN23232323 | $620 | -$275K | 91% of 22 |
| ScottyNooowhale | $500 | +$891K | 48% of 1,533 |
| 11122noise | $495 | +$630K | 42% of 1,111 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| snimuslivo4kibalanced | $416 | +$3 | 66% of 29 |
| sandyscrollbalanced | $348 | +$22 | 84% of 37 |
| 2kyrs | $322 | +$175 | 72% of 39 |
| kristi59noise | $243 | +$147 | 13% of 92 |
| lucky-man | $211 | -$130 | 35% of 131 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Liz Cheney$39M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Jasmine Crockett$36M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Gina Raimondo$36M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Raphael Warnock$34M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Roy Cooper$32M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Gavin Newsom$28M vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Jared Polis$28M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Cory Booker$27M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- John Fetterman$26M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
983 wallets hold a position worth $27K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 982 of them. The largest Yes holder is gloriafoster, with $5.6K on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 208 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is snimuslivo4ki, with $416 on it, $3 lifetime profit over 29 markets (66% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $26M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.