Who's betting on “Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?
Politics · $39M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $39M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
83% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 39 points.
644 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 644 of them. The largest Yes holder is gloriafoster, with $1.0K on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 208 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is lopezdanielle, with $98 on it, $2 lifetime profit over 89 markets (20% won).
- Smart money share
- 83%
- Holders
- 312
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' winrate
- 81%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 43%
- Holders
- 332
- Money on it
- $1.8K
- Holders' winrate
- 45%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafosterwhale | $1.0K | +$1.6K | 92% of 208 |
| Q96s3kwozynxpauwhale | $97 | +$182K | 51% of 219 |
| BabyGrootwhale | $56 | +$56K | 68% of 743 |
| 0x4bd4…91ab | $52 | -$160 | 78% of 9 |
| Kts57pmarket | $50 | +$0 | - |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| lopezdaniellenoise | $98 | +$2 | 20% of 89 |
| harrisstanleynoise | $89 | +$3 | 22% of 46 |
| perkinskimberly | $86 | -$10 | 9% of 55 |
| rebeccahampton | $59 | -$11 | 11% of 99 |
| Buika | $54 | -$7 | 81% of 54 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Oprah Winfrey$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Bernie Sanders$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Chelsea Clinton$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Andrew Yang$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Hunter Biden$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- LeBron James$44M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Hillary Clinton$44M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Tim Walz$44M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- George Clooney$43M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Phil Murphy$43M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Kim Kardashian$43M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Beto O’Rourke$43M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- MrBeast$41M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Zohran Mamdani$39M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Jasmine Crockett$36M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Gina Raimondo$36M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Barack Obama$34M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Raphael Warnock$34M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Roy Cooper$32M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Gavin Newsom$28M vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Jared Polis$28M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Cory Booker$27M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Michelle Obama$26M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- John Fetterman$26M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$75M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$44M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$43M vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$40M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
644 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 644 of them. The largest Yes holder is gloriafoster, with $1.0K on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 208 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is lopezdanielle, with $98 on it, $2 lifetime profit over 89 markets (20% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $39M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 39 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.