Who's betting on “Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?
Politics · $39M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $39M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
94% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 56 points. A week ago, Yes by 53 points.
725 wallets hold a position worth $9.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 724 of them. The largest Yes holder is gloriafoster, with $3.2K on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 208 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is 0x4e25…d7a7, with $1.4K on it, $252K lifetime profit over 1,000 markets (59% won).
- Smart money share
- 94%
- Holders
- 467
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' winrate
- 84%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 39%
- Holders
- 258
- Money on it
- $4.5K
- Holders' winrate
- 45%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafosterwhale | $3.2K | +$1.6K | 92% of 208 |
| fireman8d2balanced | $184 | +$157 | 93% of 27 |
| keasiyowhale | $133 | +$623K | 68% of 168 |
| xlefgerxwhale | $126 | +$4.8K | 84% of 132 |
| BabyGrootwhale | $89 | +$56K | 68% of 743 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4e25…d7a7whale | $1.4K | +$252K | 59% of 1,000 |
| LBZero | $201 | -$26K | 47% of 1,012 |
| 1c319 | $141 | -$29 | 86% of 70 |
| vafas | $104 | -$10 | 43% of 7 |
| deleonkyle | $102 | -$9 | 13% of 52 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Roy Cooper$32M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Jared Polis$28M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Cory Booker$27M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Michelle Obama$26M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- John Fetterman$26M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
725 wallets hold a position worth $9.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 724 of them. The largest Yes holder is gloriafoster, with $3.2K on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 208 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is 0x4e25…d7a7, with $1.4K on it, $252K lifetime profit over 1,000 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $39M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
94% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 56 points. A week ago, Yes by 53 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.