Who's betting on “Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?
Politics · $34M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $34M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
81% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 27 points.
571 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 570 of them. The largest Yes holder is gloriafoster, with $5.4K on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 208 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is mrcrabs, with $1.1K on it, $22 lifetime loss over 31 markets (19% won).
- Smart money share
- 81%
- Holders
- 261
- Money on it
- $7.9K
- Holders' winrate
- 80%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 55%
- Holders
- 310
- Money on it
- $4.9K
- Holders' winrate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafosterwhale | $5.4K | +$1.6K | 92% of 208 |
| Monsstaa | $966 | -$3.1K | 43% of 21 |
| silverstarbalanced | $422 | +$872 | 90% of 20 |
| BabyGrootwhale | $146 | +$56K | 68% of 743 |
| idk. | $129 | -$1.4K | 47% of 201 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Michelle Obama$26M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
571 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 570 of them. The largest Yes holder is gloriafoster, with $5.4K on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 208 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is mrcrabs, with $1.1K on it, $22 lifetime loss over 31 markets (19% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $34M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.