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Who's betting on “Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $43M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $43M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

94% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points. A week ago, Yes by 45 points.

592 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 592 of them. The largest Yes holder is gloriafoster, with $699 on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 208 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is szfxcv, with $152 on it, $3 lifetime profit over 21 markets (95% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
94%
Holders
329
Money on it
$1.6K
Holders' winrate
70%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
51% ▲ 6 pts 24 h
Holders
263
Money on it
$879
Holders' winrate
63%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
gloriafosterwhale$699+$1.6K92% of 208
JustCrazywhale$322+$32K47% of 264
pizzaallosqualowhale$108+$23K63% of 184
BabyGrootwhale$72+$56K68% of 743
KKchallenge$60-$46K34% of 202
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
szfxcv$152+$395% of 21
Poyooutlier$50+$97K59% of 200
Lerra$50-$850% of 34
e03e9cb0$29-$188% of 67
Facai107$24+$876% of 29
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

592 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 592 of them. The largest Yes holder is gloriafoster, with $699 on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 208 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is szfxcv, with $152 on it, $3 lifetime profit over 21 markets (95% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $43M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

94% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points. A week ago, Yes by 45 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo