Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?”?
Politics · $1.1M volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 36¢ and No at 65¢, a 65% implied chance of No. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
60% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
698 wallets hold a position worth $441K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 694 of them. The largest Yes holder is lomneivan, with $28K on it, $133K lifetime profit over 59 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8, with $90K on it, $124K lifetime loss over 93 markets (72% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1 on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 60%
- Holders
- 446
- Money on it
- $195K
- Holders' winrate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 57%
- Holders
- 252
- Money on it
- $246K
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| lomneivanwhale | $28K | +$133K | 80% of 59 |
| Krangwhale | $15K | +$8.2K | 56% of 151 |
| smallniprick | $8.4K | -$1.7K | 53% of 162 |
| ImJustKenwhale | $8.4K | +$2.3M | 65% of 1,065 |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAwhale | $7.6K | +$1.8M | 69% of 1,104 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | $90K | -$124K | 72% of 93 |
| SlavaUkrainiwhale | $39K | +$726K | 75% of 288 |
| peasantwhale | $17K | +$93K | 54% of 200 |
| PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANwhale | $13K | +$683K | 72% of 1,206 |
| ScottyNooowhale | $11K | +$891K | 48% of 1,533 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?"?
698 wallets hold a position worth $441K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 694 of them. The largest Yes holder is lomneivan, with $28K on it, $133K lifetime profit over 59 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8, with $90K on it, $124K lifetime loss over 93 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 36¢ and No at 65¢, a 65% implied chance of No. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
60% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.