Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?”?
Politics · $1.4M volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 35¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
68% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
1,150 wallets hold a position worth $493K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,146 of them. The largest Yes holder is SlavaUkraini, with $51K on it, $726K lifetime profit over 288 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is 11122, with $19K on it, $630K lifetime profit over 1,111 markets (42% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $411 on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 68%
- Holders
- 807
- Money on it
- $358K
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 1 · $411
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 65%
- Holders
- 343
- Money on it
- $135K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| SlavaUkrainiwhale | $51K | +$726K | 75% of 288 |
| 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | $42K | -$124K | 72% of 93 |
| coali10whale | $37K | +$394K | 69% of 175 |
| lastminwin | $31K | -$10K | 57% of 7 |
| skibabibawhale | $19K | +$15K | 91% of 107 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?"?
1,150 wallets hold a position worth $493K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,146 of them. The largest Yes holder is SlavaUkraini, with $51K on it, $726K lifetime profit over 288 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is 11122, with $19K on it, $630K lifetime profit over 1,111 markets (42% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 35¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
68% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.