Who's betting on “Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?
Politics · $11M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
56% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
1,348 wallets hold a position worth $93K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,348 of them. The largest Yes holder is Patz3, with $18K on it, $15K lifetime loss over 72 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Nesystem, with $2.0K on it, $170 lifetime loss over 30 markets (57% won).
3 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $117 on No.
- Smart money share
- 56%
- Holders
- 653
- Money on it
- $87K
- Holders' winrate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 33%
- Holders
- 695
- Money on it
- $6.6K
- Holders' winrate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 3 · $117
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patz3 | $18K | -$15K | 65% of 72 |
| 0xC00De9ccf3E3585732337970814533Af52096CD3-1729266707235 | $11K | +$7.6K | 63% of 8 |
| ImJustKenwhale | $8.2K | +$2.3M | 65% of 1,065 |
| 0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740 | $3.6K | -$402K | 82% of 502 |
| claudelover | $3.6K | +$540 | 100% of 2 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nesystem | $2.0K | -$170 | 57% of 30 |
| wqrethjyk8765ry5etfgfghj | $259 | -$275 | 58% of 19 |
| 0xAF6C2966d0eF4b4972209F7f1c7d7DDeA1f52068-1778124168959 | $121 | +$2 | 77% of 22 |
| 0x9A6Ae1628a95839aB099D7475721b80E0c940800-1778124204685 | $121 | +$2 | 76% of 21 |
| 0xa143F5a94e91F3B1523Aa0114a80C894C4a8e982-1778124216475 | $120 | +$1 | 76% of 21 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
1,348 wallets hold a position worth $93K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,348 of them. The largest Yes holder is Patz3, with $18K on it, $15K lifetime loss over 72 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Nesystem, with $2.0K on it, $170 lifetime loss over 30 markets (57% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.