Who's betting on “Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?”?
Politics · $550K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $550K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
66% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
435 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 434 of them. The largest Yes holder is paddaa, with $538 on it, $283K lifetime profit over 1,436 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is 0xc341702fE1989B05d3317Aacf0eD4021067C9A9F-1770815185511, with $191 on it, $951 lifetime profit over 202 markets (60% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 66%
- Holders
- 274
- Money on it
- $3.7K
- Holders' winrate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 70%
- Holders
- 161
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| paddaawhale | $538 | +$283K | 58% of 1,436 |
| siickwhale | $426 | +$96K | 69% of 1,032 |
| bearsnever | $357 | -$2.6K | 49% of 227 |
| Goopster | $204 | -$6.3K | 79% of 242 |
| FlashTradeOraclenoise | $187 | +$640 | 16% of 203 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc341702fE1989B05d3317Aacf0eD4021067C9A9F-1770815185511balanced | $191 | +$951 | 60% of 202 |
| ImJustKenwhale | $181 | +$2.3M | 65% of 1,065 |
| 88mnm88whale | $122 | +$12K | 100% of 214 |
| MiMiMi-509 | $102 | +$24 | 80% of 15 |
| 38791873984189whale | $81 | +$207K | 45% of 73,990 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
- 4$1.4M vol.Yes 75%No 26%Smart money: Yes
- 6$654K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 7$620K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 8$532K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 10$402K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 13$358K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 9$238K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 12$231K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 15+$201K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 14$195K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 11$145K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?"?
435 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 434 of them. The largest Yes holder is paddaa, with $538 on it, $283K lifetime profit over 1,436 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is 0xc341702fE1989B05d3317Aacf0eD4021067C9A9F-1770815185511, with $191 on it, $951 lifetime profit over 202 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $550K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.