Who's betting on “Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?”?
Politics · $1.4M volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 75¢ and No at 26¢, a 75% implied chance of Yes. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
83% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 38 points. A week ago, Yes by 40 points.
332 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 332 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $3.0K on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,183 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is toutiege, with $166 on it, $29K lifetime loss over 201 markets (64% won).
- Smart money share
- 83%
- Holders
- 237
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' winrate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 44%
- Holders
- 95
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| buoyswhale | $3.0K | +$83K | 46% of 1,183 |
| katbotwhale | $2.4K | +$2.6K | 49% of 187 |
| paddaawhale | $1.6K | +$283K | 58% of 1,436 |
| FlashTradeOraclenoise | $745 | +$640 | 16% of 203 |
| ovvvwfnoise | $671 | +$1.4K | 36% of 56 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| toutiege | $166 | -$29K | 64% of 201 |
| luyis | $128 | -$196 | 80% of 5 |
| siickwhale | $119 | +$96K | 69% of 1,032 |
| Mywaywhale | $78 | +$40K | 60% of 207 |
| what-are-the-oddsnoise | $51 | +$1.1K | 40% of 81 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
- 6$654K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 7$620K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 5$550K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money split
- 8$532K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 10$402K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 13$358K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 9$238K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 12$231K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 15+$201K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 14$195K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 11$145K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?"?
332 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 332 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $3.0K on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,183 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is toutiege, with $166 on it, $29K lifetime loss over 201 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 75¢ and No at 26¢, a 75% implied chance of Yes. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 38 points. A week ago, Yes by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.