Who's betting on “Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?”?
Politics · $231K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $231K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
67% of the money on Yes and 3% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 63 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 64 points. A week ago, Yes by 62 points.
123 wallets hold a position worth $121 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 123 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718, with $5 on it, $762 lifetime loss over 250 markets (14% won). The largest No holder is Goopster, with $25 on it, $6.3K lifetime loss over 242 markets (79% won).
- Smart money share
- 67%
- Holders
- 92
- Money on it
- $36
- Holders' winrate
- 46%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 3%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $85
- Holders' winrate
- 80%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718 | $5 | -$762 | 14% of 250 |
| FrankyFourFingers | $3 | -$7.1K | 69% of 252 |
| planktonXDwhale | $3 | +$131K | 76% of 5,427 |
| balthazarwhale | $2 | +$1.2M | 53% of 45,069 |
| LornaPredictsnoise | $2 | +$30K | 29% of 11,353 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goopster | $25 | -$6.3K | 79% of 242 |
| 0x2BEA18413369d2DE928C41223FDa6b9F58cf2AEd-1728237188852 | $20 | -$530 | 76% of 192 |
| 0xE55F0CBc961144deA6109e6d4C6D4f26656511A4-1728133223957 | $11 | -$1.4K | 95% of 201 |
| 0xc81D240a30Af4ddCd0dB5d21b6eD15081E24bC5d-1728240852578 | $8 | -$477 | 98% of 203 |
| daniel122134 | $7 | -$10K | 47% of 3,367 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
- 4$1.4M vol.Yes 75%No 26%Smart money: Yes
- 6$654K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 7$620K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 5$550K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money split
- 8$532K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 10$402K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 13$358K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 9$238K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 15+$201K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 14$195K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 11$145K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?"?
123 wallets hold a position worth $121 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 123 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718, with $5 on it, $762 lifetime loss over 250 markets (14% won). The largest No holder is Goopster, with $25 on it, $6.3K lifetime loss over 242 markets (79% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $231K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
67% of the money on Yes and 3% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 63 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 64 points. A week ago, Yes by 62 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.