Who's betting on “2026 Balance of Power: Other”?
Politics · $3.7M volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $3.7M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
77% of the money on Yes and 31% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.
846 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 843 of them. The largest Yes holder is ndb1, with $2.2K on it, $2.8M lifetime profit over 1,344 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is 6046, with $1.6K on it, $936 lifetime loss over 73 markets (53% won).
- Smart money share
- 77% ▲ 16 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 390
- Money on it
- $4.9K
- Holders' winrate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 31% ▼ 4 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 456
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ndb1whale | $2.2K | +$2.8M | 61% of 1,344 |
| timetowanderwhale | $473 | +$664K | 60% of 468 |
| lomneivanwhale | $420 | +$133K | 80% of 59 |
| Vgsps11 | $216 | -$102K | 58% of 303 |
| 11122noise | $203 | +$630K | 42% of 1,111 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6046 | $1.6K | -$936 | 53% of 73 |
| eejay | $1.1K | -$97 | 55% of 141 |
| tsunamisurf | $699 | -$217 | 63% of 123 |
| vicvic4 | $420 | -$139 | 66% of 83 |
| Galmonwhale | $300 | +$5.8K | 98% of 200 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "2026 Balance of Power: Other"?
846 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 843 of them. The largest Yes holder is ndb1, with $2.2K on it, $2.8M lifetime profit over 1,344 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is 6046, with $1.6K on it, $936 lifetime loss over 73 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "2026 Balance of Power: Other"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $3.7M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 31% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.