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Who's betting on “Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $1.6M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

96% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 96 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 96 points. A week ago, Yes by 95 points.

190 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 189 of them. The largest Yes holder is BabyKangroo, with $705 on it, $49K lifetime profit over 128 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is frogers, with $85 on it, $23 lifetime loss over 94 markets (12% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
96%
Holders
183
Money on it
$3.9K
Holders' winrate
61%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
0%
Holders
7
Money on it
$136
Holders' winrate
19%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
BabyKangroowhale$705+$49K74% of 128
BigRabbitnoise$603+$131K37% of 1,058
Brokiewhale$479+$180K59% of 906
0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0whale$455+$228K71% of 202
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAwhale$428+$1.8M69% of 1,104
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
frogers$85-$2312% of 94
drtyu6411$16-$2256% of 93
Wuazz$15-$5654% of 344
Skylar8431$8-$2521% of 200
era05$6-$4948% of 81
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

190 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 189 of them. The largest Yes holder is BabyKangroo, with $705 on it, $49K lifetime profit over 128 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is frogers, with $85 on it, $23 lifetime loss over 94 markets (12% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

96% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 96 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 96 points. A week ago, Yes by 95 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo