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Who's betting on “Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $33M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $33M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

96% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 43 points. A week ago, Yes by 44 points.

507 wallets hold a position worth $9.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 507 of them. The largest Yes holder is pizzabillgates, with $919 on it, $75K lifetime profit over 16 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is 0x5b6763B187E01122361Ad1CF461B4FE168f5F323-1771704418694, with $548 on it, $119 lifetime profit over 18 markets (61% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
96%
Holders
230
Money on it
$1.3K
Holders' winrate
73%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
55% ▲ 3 pts 24 h
Holders
277
Money on it
$7.9K
Holders' winrate
51%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
pizzabillgates$919+$75K81% of 16
Brokiewhale$152+$180K59% of 906
Q96s3kwozynxpauwhale$45+$182K51% of 219
alwayslatetothepartynoise$23+$224K22% of 255
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAwhale$13+$1.8M69% of 1,104
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0x5b6763B187E01122361Ad1CF461B4FE168f5F323-1771704418694$548+$11961% of 18
028dasfv$533-$1953% of 19
0x7CD6C3A614DFFe0BF175ADbD4d1f2084321eb492-1771801354126noise$521+$2652% of 21
0x1Ef7C6a341BE6B1e327EAd694c562618A2bdb29B-1772160345749noise$519+$5459% of 22
zqwd2$518-$1137% of 19
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

507 wallets hold a position worth $9.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 507 of them. The largest Yes holder is pizzabillgates, with $919 on it, $75K lifetime profit over 16 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is 0x5b6763B187E01122361Ad1CF461B4FE168f5F323-1771704418694, with $548 on it, $119 lifetime profit over 18 markets (61% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $33M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

96% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 43 points. A week ago, Yes by 44 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo