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Who's betting on “Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $11M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $11M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

70% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.

1,999 wallets hold a position worth $481K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,999 of them. The largest Yes holder is Jsram, with $48K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 271 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is WongKimArk, with $8.0K on it, $88K lifetime profit over 380 markets (69% won).

2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.2K on Yes.

Yes15%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
70%
Holders
1,000
Money on it
$408K
Holders' winrate
59%
Snipers
2 · $1.2K
Insider flags
0
No85%
Smart money share
56% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
999
Money on it
$73K
Holders' winrate
59%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Jsramwhale$48K+$2.1M60% of 271
Brokiewhale$45K+$180K59% of 906
hosewhale$23K+$58K54% of 275
Pog$19K-$1.4K79% of 338
liruihao$17K-$13K57% of 7
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
WongKimArkwhale$8.0K+$88K69% of 380
ballboy95$7.2K-$142K81% of 1,000
rdbawhale$5.1K+$485K71% of 248
Gambler1968whale$4.8K+$203K43% of 1,252
jockerbalanced$4.7K+$94658% of 43
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

1,999 wallets hold a position worth $481K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,999 of them. The largest Yes holder is Jsram, with $48K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 271 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is WongKimArk, with $8.0K on it, $88K lifetime profit over 380 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $11M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

70% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo