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Who's betting on “Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $20M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $20M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

92% of the money on Yes and 21% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 71 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 71 points. A week ago, Yes by 76 points.

544 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 544 of them. The largest Yes holder is pizzabillgates, with $3.5K on it, $75K lifetime profit over 16 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is KotKot, with $210 on it, $20 lifetime loss over 43 markets (49% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
92%
Holders
251
Money on it
$9.1K
Holders' winrate
65%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
21%
Holders
293
Money on it
$2.7K
Holders' winrate
46%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
pizzabillgates$3.5K+$75K81% of 16
Brokiewhale$1.1K+$180K59% of 906
laganza$1.1K+$3.5K100% of 2
truthtellerwhale$619+$131K63% of 1,055
TedforPrez29$583+$88710% of 10
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
KotKot$210-$2049% of 43
tannermichelle$102-$95% of 44
carolinegould$101-$718% of 45
summersivan$100-$817% of 46
jessecastillo$97-$317% of 36
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

544 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 544 of them. The largest Yes holder is pizzabillgates, with $3.5K on it, $75K lifetime profit over 16 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is KotKot, with $210 on it, $20 lifetime loss over 43 markets (49% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $20M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

92% of the money on Yes and 21% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 71 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 71 points. A week ago, Yes by 76 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo