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Who's betting on “Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $28M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $28M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

96% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 81 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 81 points. A week ago, Yes by 82 points.

530 wallets hold a position worth $6.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 530 of them. The largest Yes holder is pizzabillgates, with $2.5K on it, $75K lifetime profit over 16 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is Michelle05555, with $211 on it, $44 lifetime loss over 38 markets (34% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
96%
Holders
204
Money on it
$3.9K
Holders' winrate
71%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
14%
Holders
326
Money on it
$2.9K
Holders' winrate
43%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
pizzabillgates$2.5K+$75K81% of 16
Brokiewhale$456+$180K59% of 906
11122noise$287+$630K42% of 1,111
Q96s3kwozynxpauwhale$178+$182K51% of 219
KiernanMeisterwhale$75+$205K47% of 2,106
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Michelle05555$211-$4434% of 38
Williamyyy$201-$1141% of 27
Rebecca2602$201-$7128% of 50
iksde88$121-$5693% of 69
bobbymcdowell$94-$522% of 50
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

530 wallets hold a position worth $6.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 530 of them. The largest Yes holder is pizzabillgates, with $2.5K on it, $75K lifetime profit over 16 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is Michelle05555, with $211 on it, $44 lifetime loss over 38 markets (34% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $28M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

96% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 81 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 81 points. A week ago, Yes by 82 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo