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Who's betting on “Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $22M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $22M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

98% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 69 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 69 points. A week ago, Yes by 66 points.

532 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 532 of them. The largest Yes holder is expectingmore, with $3.1K on it, $3.6K lifetime profit over 17 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is 0x0363…cac1, with $408 on it, $7.5K lifetime loss over 5,383 markets (48% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
98%
Holders
219
Money on it
$6.5K
Holders' winrate
69%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
29%
Holders
313
Money on it
$4.5K
Holders' winrate
59%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
expectingmore$3.1K+$3.6K82% of 17
11122noise$1.2K+$630K42% of 1,111
Brokiewhale$760+$180K59% of 906
laganza$750+$3.5K100% of 2
0x2cE8505aA641791EB8460f6ac6bf5C0511E34527-1746735481513whale$213+$301K95% of 230
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0x0363…cac1$408-$7.5K48% of 5,383
Bennito8877y$402-$8432% of 19
3254tfdgt86rnoise$402+$10559% of 22
dabun23$130-$22696% of 68
0xFb2dB7e5b78DDEe490E8B4DDA2465b0086ACbBAD-1778215295205$121+$3100% of 5
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

532 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 532 of them. The largest Yes holder is expectingmore, with $3.1K on it, $3.6K lifetime profit over 17 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is 0x0363…cac1, with $408 on it, $7.5K lifetime loss over 5,383 markets (48% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $22M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

98% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 69 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 69 points. A week ago, Yes by 66 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo