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Who's betting on “Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $38M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $38M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

93% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 78 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 78 points. A week ago, Yes by 78 points.

624 wallets hold a position worth $8.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 624 of them. The largest Yes holder is petanimal, with $2.0K on it, $161K lifetime profit over 216 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is barabulka119, with $2.2K on it, $17 lifetime loss over 24 markets (38% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
93%
Holders
265
Money on it
$3.9K
Holders' winrate
65%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
15%
Holders
359
Money on it
$4.7K
Holders' winrate
41%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
petanimalwhale$2.0K+$161K67% of 216
Brokiewhale$456+$180K59% of 906
tradexplorerwhale$222+$85K67% of 203
pizzaallosqualowhale$181+$23K63% of 184
pizzabillgates$176+$75K81% of 16
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
barabulka119$2.2K-$1738% of 24
yehenala$200-$55036% of 80
cfgyfhg$114+$1396% of 26
c196noise$110+$2854% of 24
frances73$108-$619% of 69
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

624 wallets hold a position worth $8.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 624 of them. The largest Yes holder is petanimal, with $2.0K on it, $161K lifetime profit over 216 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is barabulka119, with $2.2K on it, $17 lifetime loss over 24 markets (38% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $38M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

93% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 78 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 78 points. A week ago, Yes by 78 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo