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Who's betting on “Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $16M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $16M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

76% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.

1,875 wallets hold a position worth $120K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,873 of them. The largest Yes holder is Brokie, with $9.9K on it, $180K lifetime profit over 906 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is tugator, with $4.4K on it, $6.4K lifetime loss over 1,059 markets (48% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $837 on Yes.

Yes3%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
76%
Holders
876
Money on it
$86K
Holders' winrate
53%
Snipers
1 · $837
Insider flags
0
No97%
Smart money share
41% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
999
Money on it
$35K
Holders' winrate
49%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Brokiewhale$9.9K+$180K59% of 906
BigRabbitnoise$6.5K+$131K37% of 1,058
PollsR4Dummieswhale$5.9K+$227K64% of 33
laganza$4.9K+$3.5K100% of 2
11122noise$4.9K+$630K42% of 1,111
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
tugator$4.4K-$6.4K48% of 1,059
0x7a2b…5b91$1.3K-$11822% of 9
0xb806…ea5e$1.0K+$12980% of 5
0x6b50…862a$973+$521100% of 1
0xbd0e…df5d$844-$6627% of 11
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

1,875 wallets hold a position worth $120K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,873 of them. The largest Yes holder is Brokie, with $9.9K on it, $180K lifetime profit over 906 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is tugator, with $4.4K on it, $6.4K lifetime loss over 1,059 markets (48% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $16M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

76% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo