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Who's betting on “Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $14M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $14M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

57% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.

631 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 631 of them. The largest Yes holder is OnGodNoCap, with $1.5K on it, $559 lifetime loss over 20 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is Gambler1968, with $2.5K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 1,252 markets (43% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
57%
Holders
274
Money on it
$3.9K
Holders' winrate
63%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
72%
Holders
357
Money on it
$7.9K
Holders' winrate
53%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
OnGodNoCap$1.5K-$55960% of 20
expectingmore$858+$3.6K82% of 17
Brokiewhale$474+$180K59% of 906
11122noise$324+$630K42% of 1,111
Eatpraylovewhale$111+$517K62% of 1,033
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Gambler1968whale$2.5K+$203K43% of 1,252
rdbawhale$1.9K+$485K71% of 248
ghorrockwhale$291+$7.9K64% of 30,027
lucky-man$211-$13035% of 131
Milajiojio$201-$2937% of 30
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

631 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 631 of them. The largest Yes holder is OnGodNoCap, with $1.5K on it, $559 lifetime loss over 20 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is Gambler1968, with $2.5K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 1,252 markets (43% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $14M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

57% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo