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Who's betting on “Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $19M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $19M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

91% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 49 points. A week ago, Yes by 50 points.

596 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 596 of them. The largest Yes holder is pizzabillgates, with $754 on it, $75K lifetime profit over 16 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is 0x581648ee8573438746F1A237C1155AEa9FA58220-1772234140930, with $528 on it, $1 lifetime profit over 24 markets (75% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
91%
Holders
221
Money on it
$1.3K
Holders' winrate
72%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
42%
Holders
375
Money on it
$2.6K
Holders' winrate
50%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
pizzabillgates$754+$75K81% of 16
Brokiewhale$152+$180K59% of 906
BabyGrootwhale$103+$56K67% of 729
Q96s3kwozynxpauwhale$37+$182K51% of 219
0x9b00…4834$36+$0-
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0x581648ee8573438746F1A237C1155AEa9FA58220-1772234140930balanced$528+$175% of 24
Kevinnnn$197-$12631% of 29
Leah1111$182-$12328% of 29
Nateki$148-$445% of 51
samanthaford$61-$1210% of 90
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

596 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 596 of them. The largest Yes holder is pizzabillgates, with $754 on it, $75K lifetime profit over 16 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is 0x581648ee8573438746F1A237C1155AEa9FA58220-1772234140930, with $528 on it, $1 lifetime profit over 24 markets (75% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $19M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

91% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 49 points. A week ago, Yes by 50 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo