Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?”?
Politics · $559K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $559K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
84% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
177 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 177 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d, with $32 on it, $33K lifetime profit over 295 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is gopfan2, with $1.0K on it, $1.7M lifetime profit over 1,012 markets (79% won).
- Smart money share
- 84%
- Holders
- 108
- Money on it
- $121
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 86% ▼ 3 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' winrate
- 80%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6dwhale | $32 | +$33K | 64% of 295 |
| ACarawhale | $30 | +$45K | 65% of 360 |
| planktonXDwhale | $8 | +$131K | 76% of 5,427 |
| GrandNegroniSlurpClub | $5 | -$905 | 50% of 94 |
| Oklmntrader | $4 | -$173K | 13% of 547 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| gopfan2whale | $1.0K | +$1.7M | 79% of 1,012 |
| tl200balanced | $176 | +$577 | 100% of 42 |
| LBZbot2 | $98 | -$303 | 38% of 289 |
| tonyboy108grinder | $72 | +$221 | 97% of 172 |
| Tony108 | $62 | -$2.4K | 97% of 246 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
- <22$53K vol.Yes 30%No 70%Smart money: No
- 24–25$37K vol.Yes 23%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- 26–27$20K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- 32+$17K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- 22–23$14K vol.Yes 35%No 65%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?"?
177 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 177 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d, with $32 on it, $33K lifetime profit over 295 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is gopfan2, with $1.0K on it, $1.7M lifetime profit over 1,012 markets (79% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $559K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.