Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?”?
Politics · $14K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 36¢ and No at 65¢, a 65% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
87% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 71 points. A week ago, Yes by 54 points.
73 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $333 on it, $242K lifetime profit over 1,403 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is SmartBoyBilly, with $97 on it, $8.1K lifetime loss over 2,214 markets (58% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $333 on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 87%
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $333
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 14% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $231
- Holders' winrate
- 51%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasitesniper | $333 | +$242K | 70% of 1,403 |
| RadioCCODnoise | $204 | +$9.4K | 37% of 207 |
| gopfan2whale | $170 | +$1.7M | 79% of 1,012 |
| 0x91c3…409f | $88 | +$15K | 42% of 328 |
| awgraewrfa | $59 | +$50 | 100% of 4 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| SmartBoyBilly | $97 | -$8.1K | 58% of 2,214 |
| lolzzzlol | $25 | -$91K | 17% of 39,825 |
| noise126trader | $23 | -$517 | 63% of 207 |
| BobbyBakedBeansnoise | $16 | +$24K | 41% of 4,226 |
| Tallguy2527 | $13 | -$21K | 47% of 20,798 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
- 28–29$559K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- <22$53K vol.Yes 28%No 72%Smart money: No
- 24–25$37K vol.Yes 22%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- 26–27$20K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- 32+$17K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
Who's betting on How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?"?
73 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $333 on it, $242K lifetime profit over 1,403 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is SmartBoyBilly, with $97 on it, $8.1K lifetime loss over 2,214 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 36¢ and No at 65¢, a 65% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 71 points. A week ago, Yes by 54 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.