Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?”?
Politics · $17K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
57% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 8 points.
58 wallets hold a position worth $112 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x19b87FaD1d000FBcBB8253513FdeB50a36F30C6C-1774522622992, with $15 on it, $275 lifetime loss over 30 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is axiol, with $21 on it, $2.4K lifetime profit over 214 markets (92% won).
- Smart money share
- 57%
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $61
- Holders' winrate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 57%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $52
- Holders' winrate
- 80%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x19b87FaD1d000FBcBB8253513FdeB50a36F30C6C-1774522622992 | $15 | -$275 | 43% of 30 |
| 2kparabellum | $6 | -$95 | 91% of 151 |
| BobbyBakedBeansnoise | $5 | +$24K | 41% of 4,228 |
| AJSVwhale | $5 | +$217K | 41% of 102,752 |
| orin40noise | $4 | +$1.0K | 28% of 355 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| axiolgrinder | $21 | +$2.4K | 92% of 214 |
| user3322 | $10 | -$10 | 100% of 2 |
| quidy | $7 | -$7.8K | 81% of 201 |
| Hourglassnoise | $5 | +$167K | 39% of 2,866 |
| p3eFbv0H3b | $5 | -$1.5K | 61% of 204 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
- 28–29$559K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- <22$53K vol.Yes 28%No 72%Smart money: No
- 24–25$37K vol.Yes 22%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- 26–27$20K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- 22–23$14K vol.Yes 36%No 65%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?"?
58 wallets hold a position worth $112 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x19b87FaD1d000FBcBB8253513FdeB50a36F30C6C-1774522622992, with $15 on it, $275 lifetime loss over 30 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is axiol, with $21 on it, $2.4K lifetime profit over 214 markets (92% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
57% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.