Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?”?
Politics · $20K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
15% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 76 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 76 points. A week ago, No by 77 points.
93 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them. The largest Yes holder is Szatoshi, with $423 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 155 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is gopfan2, with $995 on it, $1.7M lifetime profit over 1,012 markets (79% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $105 on No.
- Smart money share
- 15%
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $546
- Holders' winrate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 91%
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 1 · $105
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Szatoshi | $423 | -$15K | 69% of 155 |
| AJSVwhale | $25 | +$218K | 41% of 102,701 |
| awgraewrfa | $14 | +$50 | 100% of 4 |
| haruk098 | $10 | +$681 | 100% of 200 |
| 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271whale | $10 | +$65K | 63% of 5,496 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| gopfan2whale | $995 | +$1.7M | 79% of 1,012 |
| nicoco89whale | $860 | +$121K | 65% of 1,025 |
| 0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710whale | $475 | +$100K | 60% of 1,453 |
| singularitymansniper | $105 | +$79K | 76% of 359 |
| BobbyBakedBeansnoise | $68 | +$24K | 41% of 4,226 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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- 32+$17K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- 22–23$14K vol.Yes 36%No 65%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?"?
93 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them. The largest Yes holder is Szatoshi, with $423 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 155 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is gopfan2, with $995 on it, $1.7M lifetime profit over 1,012 markets (79% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
15% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 76 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 76 points. A week ago, No by 77 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.