Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?”?
Politics · $53K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $53K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
77% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
75 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $160 on it, $242K lifetime profit over 1,403 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is sparkybeme2, with $104 on it, $186 lifetime profit over 282 markets (86% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $160 on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 77%
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 54%
- Snipers
- 1 · $160
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 89% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $288
- Holders' winrate
- 73%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasitesniper | $160 | +$242K | 70% of 1,403 |
| RadioCCODnoise | $153 | +$9.4K | 37% of 207 |
| AJSVwhale | $104 | +$218K | 41% of 102,701 |
| whispercatalyst | $99 | -$2.7K | 48% of 2,682 |
| Bsau4whale | $69 | +$2.5K | 57% of 373 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| sparkybeme2grinder | $104 | +$186 | 86% of 282 |
| 5atkawhale | $75 | +$10.0K | 59% of 224 |
| flexibleagedbeef | $49 | +$584 | 83% of 6 |
| POB-T | $19 | -$11K | 42% of 3,202 |
| 0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065grinder | $11 | +$632 | 96% of 1,353 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
- 28–29$559K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- 24–25$37K vol.Yes 22%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- 26–27$20K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- 32+$17K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
- 22–23$14K vol.Yes 36%No 65%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?"?
75 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $160 on it, $242K lifetime profit over 1,403 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is sparkybeme2, with $104 on it, $186 lifetime profit over 282 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $53K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.