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Who's betting on “Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?”?

Politics · $2.1M volume · Ends October 28, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $2.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

51% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.

196 wallets hold a position worth $669 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 196 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x50ea…010f, with $198 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 181 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is dalebarnett, with $84 on it, $11 lifetime loss over 64 markets (9% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
51%
Holders
149
Money on it
$513
Holders' winrate
41%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
36%
Holders
47
Money on it
$156
Holders' winrate
39%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0x50ea…010f$198-$2.1K27% of 181
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$87+$1.2M57% of 972
tetrosewhale$68+$213K55% of 565
nicolemayer$19+$24147% of 15
NyetRisknoise$14+$180K38% of 34
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
dalebarnett$84-$119% of 64
3546$20+$592% of 24
0x7bE60b43b9DA7Fb35e0Af0a8025c1Dc64027C63E-1778160294035grinder$20+$43100% of 200
SebastianBrooks67$7+$032% of 44
MelanieGutierrez861$6-$035% of 37
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

196 wallets hold a position worth $669 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 196 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x50ea…010f, with $198 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 181 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is dalebarnett, with $84 on it, $11 lifetime loss over 64 markets (9% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $2.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

51% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo