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Who's betting on “Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?”?

Politics · $2.4M volume · Ends October 28, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $2.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

73% of the money on Yes and 24% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points. A week ago, Yes by 57 points.

255 wallets hold a position worth $637 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 255 of them. The largest Yes holder is tetrose, with $122 on it, $210K lifetime profit over 565 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is 0xc81D240a30Af4ddCd0dB5d21b6eD15081E24bC5d-1728240852578, with $45 on it, $477 lifetime loss over 203 markets (98% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
73%
Holders
189
Money on it
$515
Holders' winrate
54%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
24%
Holders
66
Money on it
$122
Holders' winrate
80%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
tetrosewhale$122+$210K55% of 565
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$58+$1.2M57% of 972
lastminwin$50-$10K57% of 7
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794whale$45+$35K49% of 1,032
BlindAndDeafbalanced$28+$4.3K89% of 28
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0xc81D240a30Af4ddCd0dB5d21b6eD15081E24bC5d-1728240852578$45-$47798% of 203
0x2BEA18413369d2DE928C41223FDa6b9F58cf2AEd-1728237188852$14-$53076% of 192
trfassgbalanced$8+$22392% of 72
Betmaster-117$7-$1783% of 113
BethanySilva775$5-$030% of 43
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

255 wallets hold a position worth $637 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 255 of them. The largest Yes holder is tetrose, with $122 on it, $210K lifetime profit over 565 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is 0xc81D240a30Af4ddCd0dB5d21b6eD15081E24bC5d-1728240852578, with $45 on it, $477 lifetime loss over 203 markets (98% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $2.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

73% of the money on Yes and 24% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points. A week ago, Yes by 57 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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