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Who's betting on “Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?”?

Politics · $520K volume · Ends October 28, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $520K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

58% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 9 points. A week ago it was split.

320 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 320 of them. The largest Yes holder is Bot1365, with $194 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is ZoDi, with $499 on it, $629 lifetime profit over 205 markets (40% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
58%
Holders
158
Money on it
$778
Holders' winrate
50%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
63% ▼ 3 pts 24 h
Holders
162
Money on it
$4.0K
Holders' winrate
72%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Bot1365$194+$0-
NyetRisknoise$100+$180K38% of 34
tetrosewhale$92+$210K55% of 565
Princesscharlie$92+$0-
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$39+$1.2M57% of 972
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
ZoDinoise$499+$62940% of 205
0xa4067A9ef3b02EA7D12200Ab457eD9aff05cEcb9-1779287850847$234-$5056% of 9
0x6FEcf3a3d1af3f44b7BFc943b7bb1724069eD1e1-1762089752684$134+$18568% of 31
0x4764a30D9B54bf9b9051d2fd613205fDAc96F66a-1778129580676$130+$270% of 23
0x3f3089697982B79900C5849f796E22fbc667dF62-1778215022585$129+$1067% of 6
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

320 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 320 of them. The largest Yes holder is Bot1365, with $194 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is ZoDi, with $499 on it, $629 lifetime profit over 205 markets (40% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $520K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

58% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 9 points. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo