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Who's betting on “Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?”?

Politics · $834K volume · Ends October 28, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $834K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

74% of the money on Yes and 23% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 50 points. A week ago, Yes by 46 points.

208 wallets hold a position worth $674 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 208 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A, with $88 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 972 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is CtrlZ-131, with $100 on it, $942 lifetime loss over 14 markets (57% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
74%
Holders
175
Money on it
$515
Holders' winrate
47%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
23%
Holders
33
Money on it
$159
Holders' winrate
49%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$88+$1.2M57% of 972
0x50ea…010f$75-$2.1K27% of 181
tetrosewhale$68+$210K55% of 565
NyetRisknoise$43+$180K38% of 34
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794whale$24+$35K49% of 1,032
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
CtrlZ-131$100-$94257% of 14
ncisoo$25+$99921% of 14
MargaretReed95$10-$033% of 45
HERHRTRbalanced$6+$5089% of 70
ConnorHopkins104$6-$034% of 38
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

208 wallets hold a position worth $674 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 208 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A, with $88 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 972 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is CtrlZ-131, with $100 on it, $942 lifetime loss over 14 markets (57% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $834K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

74% of the money on Yes and 23% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 50 points. A week ago, Yes by 46 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo