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Who's betting on “Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?”?

Politics · $11M volume · Ends October 28, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $11M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

23% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 62 points. A week ago, No by 54 points.

1,999 wallets hold a position worth $4.2M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,930 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x389D2790cD8eaD87028F68eAa7CFadB6c53f5866-1767895502715, with $146K on it, $3.4K lifetime loss over 22 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is wan123, with $287K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 273 markets (79% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $550 on Yes; 6 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $55K on No; the insider radar has flagged 23 wallets betting $373K on Yes.

Yes28%
Smart money share
23%
Holders
1,000
Money on it
$1.2M
Holders' winrate
56%
Snipers
1 · $550
Insider flags
23 · $373K
No73%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
85%
Holders
999
Money on it
$2.9M
Holders' winrate
66%
Snipers
6 · $55K
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0x389D2790cD8eaD87028F68eAa7CFadB6c53f5866-1767895502715$146K-$3.4K59% of 22
0xdccc52c0bddd4631c87b5e31c1db2abf184185d4-1792098300533$81K+$0-
slingerbit$70K+$0-
The-insider-formerly-known-as-25xp$70K+$201K100% of 1
OnlyBibi2026$66K+$0-
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
wan123whale$287K+$1.2M79% of 273
flawfencewhale$234K+$480K75% of 478
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465whale$137K+$3.2M44% of 5,523
turo$133K-$47K65% of 55
dromedaryywhale$120K+$475K66% of 50
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

1,999 wallets hold a position worth $4.2M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,930 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x389D2790cD8eaD87028F68eAa7CFadB6c53f5866-1767895502715, with $146K on it, $3.4K lifetime loss over 22 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is wan123, with $287K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 273 markets (79% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $11M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

23% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 62 points. A week ago, No by 54 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Is there insider betting on this market?

23 wallets on Yes ($373K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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