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Who's betting on “Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?”?

Politics · $1.8M volume · Ends October 28, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

49% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.

216 wallets hold a position worth $543 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 216 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x50ea…010f, with $177 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 181 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is 4567YUHGFDS, with $6 on it, $31 lifetime profit over 61 markets (95% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
49%
Holders
164
Money on it
$515
Holders' winrate
45%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
30%
Holders
52
Money on it
$28
Holders' winrate
69%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0x50ea…010f$177-$2.1K27% of 181
tetrosewhale$81+$210K55% of 565
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$64+$1.2M57% of 972
lastminwin$50-$10K57% of 7
qcp2whale$18+$1.2K74% of 241
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
4567YUHGFDSgrinder$6+$3195% of 61
cfc2b$5-$1059% of 91
0x2BEA18413369d2DE928C41223FDa6b9F58cf2AEd-1728237188852$4-$53076% of 192
Alan6311$4-$3325% of 60
0xc81D240a30Af4ddCd0dB5d21b6eD15081E24bC5d-1728240852578$3-$47798% of 203
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

216 wallets hold a position worth $543 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 216 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x50ea…010f, with $177 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 181 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is 4567YUHGFDS, with $6 on it, $31 lifetime profit over 61 markets (95% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

49% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo