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Who's betting on “Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?”?

Politics · $1.9M volume · Ends October 28, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.9M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

47% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago it was split.

405 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 404 of them. The largest Yes holder is WashTrade, with $185 on it, $142K lifetime profit over 239 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is Contestable-Parfait, with $200 on it, $1.9K lifetime profit over 137 markets (60% won).

3 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $3 on No.

Yes0%
Smart money share
47%
Holders
229
Money on it
$773
Holders' winrate
49%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
72%
Holders
176
Money on it
$2.0K
Holders' winrate
68%
Snipers
3 · $3
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
WashTradewhale$185+$142K54% of 239
0x8B5A2A371DE832fC1750c1E1E97Fa5496C30B95D-1761755360740$155-$6.0K62% of 227
Albertm6$104-$56118% of 154
timetravelerino$50+$0-
0xeb65Bc2bf04b9064d4cc839dCaFDf028080ceA27-1781385608070$37+$10267% of 3
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Contestable-Parfaitbalanced$200+$1.9K60% of 137
Hourglassnoise$161+$167K39% of 2,866
0x2cC3759ac36919322d58e15BDFe23ce20f1c609c-1762095903054$129+$5567% of 27
0x41EA4973176A33593D8DD57d3db82E234116Def8-1778383248634$121+$2100% of 2
0x6EBA5BdC0c6da55F77D37C6a88efba9de9556575-1778383416570$119+$0100% of 2
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

405 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 404 of them. The largest Yes holder is WashTrade, with $185 on it, $142K lifetime profit over 239 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is Contestable-Parfait, with $200 on it, $1.9K lifetime profit over 137 markets (60% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.9M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

47% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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