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Who's betting on “Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?”?

Politics · $2.7M volume · Ends October 28, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $2.7M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

65% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.

258 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 257 of them. The largest Yes holder is WaterF, with $112 on it, $115 lifetime profit over 7 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is Hourglass, with $161 on it, $167K lifetime profit over 2,866 markets (39% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
65%
Holders
183
Money on it
$770
Holders' winrate
51%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
76% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
75
Money on it
$400
Holders' winrate
47%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
WaterF$112+$11543% of 7
tetrosewhale$103+$213K55% of 565
0xE4688A8782f32d6aBE6784ba2298A93B00D3f5A6-1769372941379$94+$0-
0x50ea…010f$54-$2.1K27% of 181
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$49+$1.2M57% of 972
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Hourglassnoise$161+$167K39% of 2,866
0x07FC21c0623605Fe45b888aB95955AB210058b00-1778130540289$102+$150% of 2
Albert9877$19-$15843% of 91
kuangubalanced$17+$21679% of 38
Kastellvalen$15-$1.6K63% of 973
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

258 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 257 of them. The largest Yes holder is WaterF, with $112 on it, $115 lifetime profit over 7 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is Hourglass, with $161 on it, $167K lifetime profit over 2,866 markets (39% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $2.7M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

65% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo