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Who's betting on “Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?”?

Politics · $2.0M volume · Ends October 28, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $2.0M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

71% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.

387 wallets hold a position worth $649 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 387 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A, with $71 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 972 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is TrulyBlond, with $20 on it, $24 lifetime profit over 20 markets (95% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
71%
Holders
311
Money on it
$517
Holders' winrate
60%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
39%
Holders
76
Money on it
$131
Holders' winrate
63%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$71+$1.2M57% of 972
tetrosewhale$68+$210K55% of 565
0x84fdf3382Af0BdCF7D8e6272f477334CAC442f81-1733944114414grinder$45+$3.1K94% of 202
0x824a…534c$44-$14987% of 38
WashTradewhale$30+$142K54% of 239
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
TrulyBlond$20+$2495% of 20
Kastellvalen$15-$1.5K63% of 991
0x7Fe66dff74728419708181F0570846D7d5ddAbEe-1737322920329$9-$16139% of 89
FrankLeonard250$9-$030% of 40
45aaabalanced$7+$12672% of 68
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

387 wallets hold a position worth $649 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 387 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A, with $71 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 972 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is TrulyBlond, with $20 on it, $24 lifetime profit over 20 markets (95% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $2.0M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

71% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.