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Who's betting on “Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $8.1M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $8.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

55% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.

516 wallets hold a position worth $52K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 515 of them. The largest Yes holder is Shitposter, with $5.9K on it, $31K lifetime loss over 4 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is TokenBrawler, with $542 on it, $29 lifetime profit over 135 markets (59% won).

Yes2%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
55%
Holders
335
Money on it
$49K
Holders' winrate
58%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No98%
Smart money share
41%
Holders
181
Money on it
$3.0K
Holders' winrate
57%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Shitposter$5.9K-$31K25% of 4
Railcoolwhale$5.8K+$125K74% of 145
tsihkodiiveswhale$3.8K+$26K83% of 476
11122noise$3.4K+$630K42% of 1,111
0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfkwhale$3.4K+$15K77% of 22
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
TokenBrawlerbalanced$542+$2959% of 135
0xB0bCaB2d3A73ec6E8dd80792f0678bF3b7B0EF90-1763054440348$285-$228% of 80
zar69$198-$2.3K76% of 202
Oliviaa$197-$1945% of 29
Lily888$197-$3130% of 33
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

516 wallets hold a position worth $52K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 515 of them. The largest Yes holder is Shitposter, with $5.9K on it, $31K lifetime loss over 4 markets (25% won). The largest No holder is TokenBrawler, with $542 on it, $29 lifetime profit over 135 markets (59% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $8.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

55% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo