Who's betting on “Modi out by December 31, 2026?”?

Politics · $428K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $428K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

30% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 50 points. A week ago, No by 44 points.

577 wallets hold a position worth $108K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 576 of them. The largest Yes holder is Pete22J, with $1.6K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is elmcap2, with $28K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,082 markets (86% won).

Yes4%
Smart money share
30%
Holders
201
Money on it
$3.9K
Holders' winrate
60%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No96%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
81%
Holders
376
Money on it
$104K
Holders' winrate
76%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Pete22J$1.6K+$0-
mustlol$582+$155100% of 1
fledger$377-$18480% of 30
testingtesttt$276+$1.6K50% of 10
recreated-forever$170-$2060% of 5
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
elmcap2whale$28K+$2.1M86% of 1,082
risk-managerwhale$9.8K+$196K59% of 1,007
Zaratustrawhale$7.4K+$39K58% of 742
DEGENKHANwhale$5.9K+$105K74% of 1,139
asit1$4.7K+$0-
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Modi out by December 31, 2026?"?

577 wallets hold a position worth $108K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 576 of them. The largest Yes holder is Pete22J, with $1.6K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is elmcap2, with $28K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,082 markets (86% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Modi out by December 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $428K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

30% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 50 points. A week ago, No by 44 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Modi out by December 31, 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo