Who's betting on “Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?”?

Politics · $2.6M volume · Closed · Updated October 5, 2026

This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved Yes. $2.6M has been traded on it.

79% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago it was split.

708 wallets hold a position worth $1.2M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 673 of them.

Yes100%
Smart money share
79% ▲ 26 pts 24 h
Holders
407
Money on it
$1.2M
Holders' winrate
71%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No0%
Smart money share
76% ▼ 9 pts 24 h
Holders
301
Money on it
$291
Holders' winrate
64%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?"?

708 wallets hold a position worth $1.2M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 673 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?"?

This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved Yes. $2.6M has been traded on it.

Which side is the smart money on?

79% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved Yes. $2.6M has been traded on it.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo