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Who's betting on “Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?”?

Politics · $1.8M volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

81% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.

431 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 431 of them. The largest Yes holder is caviaro, with $41 on it, $6.5K lifetime profit over 209 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is studmuffin6969, with $500 on it, $129K lifetime profit over 1,005 markets (58% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
81%
Holders
278
Money on it
$227
Holders' winrate
51%
Snipers
1 · $0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
46%
Holders
153
Money on it
$1.6K
Holders' winrate
57%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
caviaronoise$41+$6.5K43% of 209
Protrad$19-$1.5K47% of 201
gopaywhale$14+$1.1K60% of 218
LinaBellwhale$14+$134K68% of 1,057
wan123whale$10+$1.2M79% of 273
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
studmuffin6969whale$500+$129K58% of 1,005
babyshark.$200-$66359% of 213
LBZero$200-$26K47% of 1,012
lissartter$124-$270K56% of 2,742
LeslieMedina4117balanced$100+$67548% of 200
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

431 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 431 of them. The largest Yes holder is caviaro, with $41 on it, $6.5K lifetime profit over 209 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is studmuffin6969, with $500 on it, $129K lifetime profit over 1,005 markets (58% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

81% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo