Who's betting on “Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?”?
Politics · $1.1M volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
82% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
207 wallets hold a position worth $246 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 207 of them. The largest Yes holder is caviaro, with $75 on it, $6.5K lifetime profit over 209 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is 64MGX75VLQ, with $10 on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 262 markets (98% won).
- Smart money share
- 82%
- Holders
- 165
- Money on it
- $225
- Holders' winrate
- 42%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 63%
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $21
- Holders' winrate
- 87%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| caviaronoise | $75 | +$6.5K | 43% of 209 |
| pregamee | $25 | -$2.1K | 30% of 145 |
| gopaywhale | $15 | +$1.1K | 60% of 218 |
| puipui2486noise | $13 | +$96K | 18% of 263 |
| BabyGrootwhale | $10 | +$56K | 68% of 743 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64MGX75VLQgrinder | $10 | +$7.8K | 98% of 262 |
| FlashTradeOracleTester | $7 | -$3.0K | 88% of 243 |
| starysgrinder | $2 | +$323 | 88% of 160 |
| tefano | $1 | +$0 | 100% of 44 |
| UbuntuTradingwhale | $0 | +$127K | 49% of 1,497 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in California Governor Election Winner
- Tom Steyer$4.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Steve Hilton$3.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Xavier Becerra$2.3M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Alex Padilla$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Chad Bianco$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Kyle Langford$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Rick Caruso$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Nicole Shanahan$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Katie Porter$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Betty Yee$1.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Antonio Villaraigosa$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Stephen Cloobeck$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Kamala Harris$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Toni Atkins$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Michael Younger$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Eric Swalwell$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Eleni Kounalakis$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Tony Thurmond$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Daniel Mercuri$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Matt Mahan$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Butch Ware$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Elaine Culotti$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$75M vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?
207 wallets hold a position worth $246 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 207 of them. The largest Yes holder is caviaro, with $75 on it, $6.5K lifetime profit over 209 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is 64MGX75VLQ, with $10 on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 262 markets (98% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.