polkyo

Who's betting on “Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?”?

Politics · $1.6M volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

73% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago, No by 5 points.

212 wallets hold a position worth $252 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 212 of them. The largest Yes holder is BabyGroot, with $62 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 743 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is 64MGX75VLQ, with $10 on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 262 markets (98% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
73%
Holders
177
Money on it
$226
Holders' winrate
49%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
78%
Holders
35
Money on it
$26
Holders' winrate
79%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
BabyGrootwhale$62+$56K68% of 743
Blind Chicken$25-$24K26% of 201
chive$19-$23650% of 202
gopaywhale$15+$1.1K60% of 218
YouKnowNothingJonSnownoise$12+$89K31% of 51
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
64MGX75VLQgrinder$10+$7.8K98% of 262
d270ebalanced$5+$2084% of 25
0x1f36…1709$5-$92-
LetTheGoodTimesRollwhale$5+$10K48% of 265
pasporwhale$0+$40K64% of 286
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

Open the full signal →Start free

More markets in California Governor Election Winner

Who's betting on California Governor Election Winner →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

212 wallets hold a position worth $252 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 212 of them. The largest Yes holder is BabyGroot, with $62 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 743 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is 64MGX75VLQ, with $10 on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 262 markets (98% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

73% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago, No by 5 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo