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Who's betting on “Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?”?

Politics · $1.3M volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.3M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

86% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

223 wallets hold a position worth $606 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 223 of them. The largest Yes holder is caviaro, with $55 on it, $6.5K lifetime profit over 209 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is 666js, with $300 on it, $175 lifetime profit over 200 markets (84% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
86%
Holders
178
Money on it
$226
Holders' winrate
46%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
87%
Holders
45
Money on it
$379
Holders' winrate
81%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
caviaronoise$55+$6.5K43% of 209
Protrad$19-$1.5K47% of 201
huyewellwhale$17+$5.3K81% of 249
gopaywhale$15+$1.1K60% of 218
JustCrazywhale$14+$32K47% of 264
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
666jsbalanced$300+$17584% of 200
trailwin$21-$29860% of 48
64MGX75VLQgrinder$20+$7.8K98% of 262
exexex666$18-$27459% of 68
MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus$5-$15K62% of 583
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

223 wallets hold a position worth $606 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 223 of them. The largest Yes holder is caviaro, with $55 on it, $6.5K lifetime profit over 209 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is 666js, with $300 on it, $175 lifetime profit over 200 markets (84% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.3M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

86% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo